PHD Tested Trading Technology

PHD Tested Trading Technology2017-07-27T17:26:07+00:00

Predictive Accuracy that is Ph.D. Tested and Proven

VantagePoint Trading Software, which predicts market trends with up to 86% accuracy, was first introduced in 1991. VantagePoint’s high-probability forecasts of market trend direction helps traders anticipate changes in price direction, rather than merely identifying trends after the fact, and gives them confidence to take trading signals.

With all of the get-rich-quick schemes popping up in response to the current global financial crisis, VantagePoint Trading Software continues to be the world leader in market forecasting, as shown in a recent analysis by several independent third party sources.   The accuracy of VantagePoint’s Predictive Neural Index has been verified by several PhDs who also trade in the markets.  Here are four of  the most recent studies that have been conducted.

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Dr. Gerald H. Meyer, currently a full-time professor and Director of Computer Science at LaGuardia Community College, who served as chair of the Computer Information Systems Department for more than twenty years and is a PhD Mathematician.Twelve markets were randomly selected from the 600+ offered by VantagePoint. Detailed methodology was then used to analyze data for a two-year period to certify the accuracy rate of the predicted neural index, which compares an actual three-day moving average with a predicted three-day moving average to forecast whether a three-day simple moving average of the typical price (average of the high, low and close) will be higher or lower in two days than it is today. Meyer found that the range of accuracy for all twelve markets selected was from a low 73.9% to a high of 83.2%, with the mean of all twelve markets at 78%.
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Dr. Ted W. Warnock has nearly 30 years experience in the planning, analysis, research, development, prototyping and testing of advanced technology systems. He has earned bachelor’s and Ph.D. degrees in aerospace engineering from Auburn University; a master’s degree in aeronautical and astronautical engineering from Stanford University; and a master’s degree in systems management from the University of Southern California. He pioneered the application of neural networks to the real world problem of predicting the orbital lifetimes of tethered satellites. Dr. Warnock also did an extensive test and put VantagePoint through the paces. He tested the predictive accuracy for more than 2 years for each of the 26 markets. The results of these assessments indicate the accuracy and consistency of VantagePoint’s Predicted Neural Index. With only 1 exception, the overall (combined) PNI accuracy for all markets considered was demonstrated to be in excess of 75%. In all but 5 of the 26 markets considered, PNI accuracy was found to be 77% or better.
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Dr. Sunny J. Harris has been trading since 1981. She is a computer programmer and PhD applied mathematician. Rated #1 trader in the under $10 million category by Stark Research, achieving a 365% profit in 1994 and 178% in 1995. Ms. Harris’s first book, Trading 101 — How to Trade Like a Pro, sold out within the first two weeks, and continues to be a financial best-seller. Her second book, Trading 102 — Getting Down to Business, was released in October 1998 and also has achieved record sales. In early 2000, Harris released Electronic Day Trading 101, addressing the basics of trading online and through direct access brokerage, followed by Getting Started in Trading in 2001.

Dr. Harris’ analysis found that the accuracy over these 31 markets averaged 78.2%. In her report she stated “Most of the markets are in the 78-82% range for the three-year period ended April 16, 2010. The methodology used in selecting and testing the representative sample is appropriate to ensure that the results obtained in testing the sample properly reflects the results that could be expected from testing the entire market database.

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Dr. Phillip A. Arcuri has worked in areas of advanced technology for over 30 years, including modeling of neutral beam injectors for tokamaks at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, MATLAB model development at AERE Harwell, MUMPS programming at the John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxfordshire, development of large-scale personnel dispatch systems for Verizon, and Public Key Infrastructure security products for bTrade. He holds an A.B. degree from Wabash College and both an M.Sc. and PhD. in mathematics from Oxford University, England.

Dr. Arcuri did an extensive 4-year test to verify and certify the actual accuracy of the VantagePoint forecasting software. The four year time period was from 4/24/2006 to 4/22/2010. He randomly selected thirty of the markets VantagePoint forecasts for and in all cases, the accuracy is better than 75%; and in 27 of the 30 markets the results are better than 77.0%. The average accuracy over all thirty markets is 78.04%, with a low value of 75.37% for Bank of America stock, and a high value of 80.06% for Cisco stock.

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