stochastics-example

On one side, the optimists see $31, which implies denim supremacy, operational excellence, and a retail renaissance led by bras and hoodies. On the other side, the pessimists see $11, which assumes consumers suddenly discover they already own clothes and decide to keep them forever. In the middle sits the “reasonable” forecast at $20.70, which is Wall Street’s polite way of saying, “We have no idea, but we brought a calculator.” 

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