Vantagepoint AI Blog

Main Street versus Wall Street: The Yield Curve War Every Trader Should Watch

Government “plans” always sound like a hangover cure invented at 3 a.m. — equal parts moonshine, aspirin, and prayer. Treasury Secretary Bessent wants to re-industrialize America by flattening the Fed and inflating the dollar like a Macy’s parade balloon. It worked once, during WWII, when bureaucrats put the Fed on a leash and barked orders about bond yields. But like most government solutions, it came with all the subtlety of a bar fight. The irony? To make Main Street great again, Bessent is doubling down on the same money-printing racket he claims to despise.

VantagePoint A.I. Stock of the Week Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals ($ARWR)

Wall Street’s got 11 analysts throwing darts at Arrowhead, and the “average” target is $36. Big whoop. The real story isn’t the middle number — it’s the gap between the bulls and the bears. One camp says this thing can run to $80, the other swears it’s worth only $12. That’s a $68 spread on a $34 stock. Let that sink in. These aren’t bored Reddit posters guessing in between Monster Energy chugs — these are professionals who live and breathe this company, comb through every line of every filing, and still come out with forecasts that look like they’re describing two completely different planets. That variance is the proof in the pudding.

The Economics of Oops: A Lifetime of Trading Blind Spots in One Easy Lesson

The words “IS” and “SHOULD” are fascinating little beasts to define. What is happening? What should happen? Two entirely different universes, and yet traders — and yes, entire newsrooms — mash them together like a bad cocktail. Back when I was starting out, I lived in the land of “SHOULD.” It was my natural habitat. The dollar should weaken, inflation should push gold higher, markets should reward my uncanny foresight. Except they didn’t. They don’t care. And what fascinates me most is that the financial media seems just as drunk on “SHOULD” as I once was. Turn on the television and you’ll see it everywhere: anchors dutifully reporting what is happening — GDP growth, rate cuts, deficits — then immediately pivoting to some sweeping sermon about what should happen because of it. The result? A murky stew where hard facts and wishful thinking blend together until nobody can tell which is which. And if you’re trading off that brew, you’re not an investor — you’re a mystic with a margin account.

VantagePoint A.I. Stock of the Week Iris Energy ($IREN)

Wall Street’s been scribbling their guesses, and ten analysts tossed out 12-month targets for IREN. Average? $37.71. High? A frothy $82. Low? A depressing $20. Current price? $41.77. Now here’s the kicker smart traders never ignore: that spread between the biggest bull and the biggest bear is $62. That’s 148% of the stock’s current price. Translation — this thing isn’t some sleepy utility stock. It’s a rodeo bull hopped up on caffeine. Volatility isn’t hiding in the bushes here — it’s charging straight at you.

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